Ford Faces Pressure as Tariff Threat Looms: Will an Early Election Be Called?

In a recent news conference, Ontario Premier Doug Ford kept the public guessing about the possibility of an early election amidst rising tensions from incoming U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs. While Ford chose not to commit to calling a snap election, he indicated that if the tariffs come into effect and the province needs to enact a significant stimulus package, the democratic process should involve a vote to seek approval from the public.

"You have to consider that if we’re looking at spending tens of billions to support the economy, then it’s only fair that the people have a say," Ford stated firmly. His comments followed a question about the opposition's support regarding potential tariff impacts and whether that would lessen the necessity for an early election.

Trump has ominously suggested implementing a hefty 25% tariff on goods imported from both Canada and Mexico, claiming the need for measures against what he terms the illegal flow of drugs and migrants across borders. Premier Ford has vocalized grave concerns over these tariffs, asserting they could strike a devastating blow to the province's economy, particularly for its hardworking residents.

To combat these potential tariffs, Ford has promised to introduce a "strong list" of retaliatory actions, including the controversial option of cutting off energy supplies to approximately 1.5 million homes across Michigan, New York, and Minnesota. This provocative solution highlights the stakes at play, demonstrating the tensions of trade relations just a stone’s throw away.

Ford's opposition, including Mississauga Mayor Bonnie Crombie and Ontario NDP Leader Marit Stiles, have criticized him for suggesting an early election could be tied to American policy, framing it as an opportunistic maneuver to cling to power rather than as a genuine democratic response. Crombie emphasized that the tariffs should be treated as a real threat, not as a pretext for an "illegitimate" call for early elections.

Stiles argued that Ford already has a mandate and should focus on the challenges posed by the tariffs without resorting to the polls. "We can collaborate on protecting jobs in Ontario – there’s no need to head to an election just yet. We’ve got this!" she proclaimed.

While speculation swirls around the political landscape, new polling data indicates that Ford's Progressive Conservatives currently hold a solid lead over the Liberals, ahead by 10 points. Amidst speculation of an early election, the survey conducted by Liaison Strategies revealed that 40% of decided voters would choose the PCs if elections were held today, while support for the Liberals crept up to 30%.

These fluctuating numbers reflect a myriad of factors, including Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's recent announcement regarding his resignation as the federal Liberal leader, and the wavering sentiments surrounding Trump’s proposed policies.

Interestingly, 21% of respondents indicated they'd support the New Democratic Party, while one in five remains undecided, underscoring the uncertainty that envelops the upcoming political climate in Ontario.

As Ford navigates these turbulent waters, all eyes will be on the actions taken in response to Trump’s tariff threats and whether they will lead to early elections, shaping the future of Ontario’s political landscape.