Finance

What To Invest In When T-Bills and Fixed Deposits Rates Plummet Below 3%? Discover Your Best Options!

2025-03-30

Author: Siti

For a long time, investors enjoyed a relatively easy environment. Placing money in fixed deposits or T-bills brought in nearly 4% returns with minimal risk. However, the landscape has shifted dramatically—interest rates have now dipped below 3%, with expectations that they may continue to decline as global central banks implement rate cuts to stimulate struggling economies. The Federal Reserve, for instance, is anticipated to reduce rates three times this year.

In Singapore, the latest 6-month T-bill cut-off yield stands at just 2.73%, with most fixed deposit rates similarly falling below 3%. With the quest for higher yields continuing, investors must explore other avenues.

So, if risk-free options are dwindling, where should you look? Brace yourself: while there are no perfectly safe investments, there are still worthwhile places to consider your money.

1. Cash Management Accounts: The Hidden Gems

One of the few areas still offering over 3% yields from quasi-cash instruments is cash management accounts. The surge of robo-advisors and digital banking platforms means several are competing for new deposits by offering attractive rates. Here’s a snapshot of some current options:

- **Endowus:** 2.7% to 3.8% - **Stashaway:** 2.5% to 3.6% - **Maribank:** 3.26% - **Syfe:** 2.3% to 3.2% - **Chocolate Finance:** 3.3%

It’s important to note that these yields are projected and not guaranteed, as the accounts invest in money market funds, which feature short-term bonds and T-bills. If interest rates continue to decline, so will these yields. Still, cash management accounts are currently viewed as low-risk options, especially since these funds are regulated and held in trustee accounts, providing a layer of investor protection.

2. US Treasuries: A Promising Yet Risky Choice

US Treasuries currently offer annualized yields above 4%, outperforming many local options. However, they come with specific risks:

- **Currency Risk:** Since Treasuries are denominated in USD, those whose income or assets are primarily in SGD will face forex risk. A decline in the USD against the SGD—about 2% so far this year—could diminish your returns when converted back to local currency.

- **Reinvestment Risk:** US Treasuries typically mature in 6 to 12 months. If rates fall before maturity, future reinvestments may yield less, with the added threat of forex risk making returns even less appealing. Thus, investing in Treasuries could merely postpone the need to identify better long-term solutions.

3. Bond Funds: A Moderate Risk Approach

Previously analyzed options for bond funds yielded monthly interests exceeding 5%, showcasing their potential. However, high-quality, investment-grade bond funds don’t operate without risks. Falling rates will reduce yields and can lead funds to return capital to maintain payout levels. Still, if interest rates decline, bond prices may rise, creating capital gains on top of income.

That being said, if inflation remains stubborn or stagflation occurs, there’s potential for stagnated performance in bond markets. Yet, bond funds remain a solid consideration within a diversified investment portfolio.

4. REITs and Dividend Stocks: Navigating the Stock Market Waters

Stepping into equities, it's important to acknowledge that stocks have inherent risks—greater volatility and a lower repayment priority in liquidation scenarios. However, selecting stocks with stable earnings and reliable dividends can mitigate some of that risk.

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are appealing yield plays since they typically distribute the majority of their earnings as dividends, leading to higher yields. However, they have suffered from the impact of rising interest rates, resulting in reduced distributions due to increased borrowing costs. Despite this, there are resilient REITs worth exploring.

Dividend stocks, particularly from banks, have become favorites. Banks in Singapore reported record profits and even special dividends despite headwinds faced by REITs. ETFs, like the Lion-OCBC Securities APAC Financials Dividend Plus ETF, which includes leading banks throughout Asia and Oceania, have performed admirably, gaining 13% in under a year since launch.

The Best Investment Strategy?

Ultimately, there’s no magical solution that will meet all investment needs. Instead, focus on constructing a diversified portfolio that encompasses cash management accounts, short-term bonds, REITs, dividend stocks, and selective growth-oriented opportunities. While we may have thrived on 3-4% yields from conservative options, those days are winding down.

It’s time to think ahead, reevaluate your investment strategy, and position your portfolio wisely before interest rates decline further and viable options dwindle. The market is in flux, and now is your moment to act strategically!