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The Future of Hong Kong Real Estate: What to Expect in 2025 and Other Regional Updates

2025-01-13

Author: Wai

Hong Kong's Real Estate Market on the Upswing

The year 2024 was significantly challenging for Hong Kong's commercial sector, struggling against various hurdles including a sluggish economic recovery in mainland China, an impending surge in new office supply, elevated interest rates, and lower retail sales. According to RETalk Asia, caution has become a prevalent sentiment among investors and corporate players. However, CBRE Hong Kong projects a more favorable scenario for 2025, fueled by anticipated reductions in financing costs. "We expect modest improvements in real estate demand, primarily visible in increased transaction volumes," said Marcos Chan, Executive Director and Head of Research at CBRE Hong Kong. This optimistic outlook is bolstered by global trends of declining interest rates and potential economic stimulus measures in mainland China, although uncertainties regarding trade barriers remain.

Johor's Rapid Rise in Malaysia's Property Market

In contrast, Johor is emerging as a crucial player in Malaysia's real estate market, as highlighted by the National Property Information Centre's (NAPIC) H1 2024 Property Market Report. Johor accounted for 15.3% of Malaysia’s residential transactions with the sale of 18,648 units, amounting to MYR9.02 billion. This positions Johor as the second-most active state in property sales, showcasing a robust demand. Additionally, the state led the country in new property launches, representing 23.6% of the total with over 5,300 new units introduced in the first half of 2024. This strong performance—38.3% of national sales—signals a growing interest from buyers and investors alike, making Johor one of the standout markets moving forward.

Philippines Breaks Foreign Investment Records

Meanwhile, the Philippines is experiencing a significant influx of foreign investment, with net foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows hitting an eight-month high of USD1 billion in October 2024, according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). This figure marks a 50.2% increase compared to the previous year and signals robust growth in investor confidence. The BSP indicated that this spike was largely attributed to a 60.7% surge in nonresidents' investments in debt instruments, further stabilizing the country's economic outlook and attracting more international interest.

Conclusion

As we move forward, these developments present an intriguing picture of the real estate dynamics in the Asia-Pacific region, with Hong Kong potentially rebounding, Johor flourishing, and the Philippines capturing the attention of global investors. Buckle up— 2025 is shaping up to be a transformative year for real estate across the board!