Sport

MLB 2025 Season: Win Total Projections for Every Team and Top Bets for the Yankees, Mets, White Sox, and More

2025-03-25

Author: Wei

Introduction

As the 2025 MLB season officially kicks off, baseball fans are buzzing with excitement. While the early games in Tokyo between the Cubs and Dodgers served as a teaser, Thursday marks the true beginning of the season for most teams. So, it's time to delve into the thrilling world of win total projections for each team, along with some enticing betting recommendations.

Understanding Win Total Projections

Before we jump in, it's important to understand how these projections work. The win totals listed reflect gambling lines set by major sportsbooks like DraftKings, incorporating a .5 to each number to help avoid tie situations. For instance, a win total of "84.5" indicates you can bet on whether the team will win more (over) or fewer (under) games. Let's break down the current win totals from highest to lowest:

Current Win Totals

- **Dodgers**: 103.5 - **Braves**: 93.5 - **Phillies**: 91.5 - **Mets**: 90.5 - **Yankees**: 89.5 - **Orioles**: 87.5 - **Astros**: 87.5 - **Red Sox**: 86.5 - **Padres**: 85.5 - **Rangers**: 85.5 - **Cubs**: 85.5 - **Mariners**: 84.5 - **Twins**: 84.5 - **Tigers**: 83.5 - **Royals**: 83.5 - **Brewers**: 83.5 - **Guardians**: 82.5 - **Rays**: 81.5 - **Giants**: 80.5 - **Reds**: 78.5 - **Blue Jays**: 78.5 - **Pirates**: 77.5 - **Cardinals**: 76.5 - **Nationals**: 72.5 - **Angels**: 71.5 - **Athletics**: 71.5 - **Marlins**: 63.5 - **Rockies**: 58.5 - **White Sox**: 53.5

Top Betting Picks

- **Royals Over 83.5 Wins**: Having won 86 games last season, the Royals have a solid foundation. Despite some expected regression for certain players, including Seth Lugo, their core remains intact, and aggressive trading can bolster their success. Watch for standout performances from Bobby Witt Jr. for MVP and Cole Ragans contending for the Cy Young.

- **Twins Under 84.5 Wins**: While some analysts project the Twins to lead the AL Central, their injury-prone roster raises concerns. With crucial players like Royce Lewis already sidelined, the likelihood of finishing above 84 wins becomes murky.

- **Rangers Over 85.5 Wins**: The Rangers had a robust offense last season, and with promising additions like Joc Pederson and the return of key pitchers from surgery, they are well-positioned. Predictions suggest they'll outperform expectations, potentially clinching the AL West crown.

- **Mets Under 90.5 Wins**: Despite the talent on their roster, the Mets face an uphill battle in the tough NL East. Their rotation's injury concerns could hinder their performance, leading to more losses against competitive teams.

- **Red Sox Over 86.5 Wins**: After a .500 season, the Red Sox seem poised for improvement. With significant additions and a healthier roster, including potential successes from Trevor Story and Garrett Crochet, they could realistically contend for the AL East title.

- **Yankees Under 89.5 Wins**: With injuries affecting key players like Gerrit Cole and question marks around Giancarlo Stanton, the Yankees face challenges ahead. While they might remain competitive, the magic number of 90 wins seems unlikely.

- **White Sox Over 53.5 Wins**: Entering the season as a team perceived to struggle, the White Sox still have room for improvement from last year’s disappointing performance. Historical trends suggest that even the worst teams typically exceed 53 wins, and as injury woes ease, the outlook may brighten for fans.

Conclusion

As excitement builds across Major League Baseball, these projections and betting insights can help fans and bettors navigate the thrills of the 2025 season. Who will rise above expectations and who will falter? The answers await as the game unfolds!