
Cenovus Takes the Lead with Attractive MEG Energy Bid, Strathcona Fights Back!
2025-09-19
Author: Noah
Cenovus Energy Challenges Strathcona with a Game-Changing Offer
In a thrilling showdown in Calgary, Cenovus Energy Inc. is making waves with its captivating cash-and-stock proposal for MEG Energy Corp., boasting a premium valuation that far surpasses the rival all-stock bid from Strathcona Resources Ltd.
Cenovus passionately extolled its offer in a compelling presentation aimed directly at MEG shareholders, emphasizing its industry-leading experience, top-tier assets, robust growth prospects, diverse revenue streams, and a solid financial standing. The company promises clear synergies that could lead to a prosperous future.
Strathcona's Hostile Bid Gets a Facelift
Last week, Strathcona amped up the competition by revising its hostile bid to 0.80 of a share for each MEG share it doesn't already own, elevating the offer to $30.86 per share, a jump from the previous $28.02.
Cenovus's Offer: A Golden Opportunity for MEG Shareholders?
Cenovus counters that its bid consists of 72% cash and 28% stock, presenting an implied value of $28.44. This would represent a staggering 39% premium compared to MEG's stock price in mid-May, claiming that the deal would set a record for the highest price ever paid for a pure-play steam-driven oilsands asset.
However, Cenovus warns of potential risks related to Strathcona’s offer, suggesting that the latter’s share price is "overvalued" and may plummet after the deal.
MEG Board Backs Cenovus, Strathcona Fights Back!
In a unanimous move, MEG's board is backing the Cenovus proposal, labeling the Strathcona offer as "fundamentally unattractive." Meanwhile, Strathcona has slammed the decision, labeling the Cenovus offer as "lopsided" and criticizing MEG's sale process for not adequately considering their bid.
Adam Waterous, Strathcona’s executive chairman, highlighted an intriguing twist: after the announcement of the Cenovus deal, Cenovus's stock soared by 10%, resulting in a $3.9 billion surge in its market value. Strathcona claims that MEG shareholders would only end up owning a mere 4% of the post-merger company, missing out on significant gains.
What’s Next for MEG Shareholders?
Under Strathcona’s proposal, MEG shareholders would have a 43% stake in the merged entity, compared to a significantly diminished interest in Cenovus’s deal.
As the clock ticks down, the Cenovus offer awaits a crucial vote from MEG shareholders, set for October 9, where a two-thirds majority approval is needed. Strathcona intends to vote its 14.2% stake against the proposal, promising that the competition is far from over.
The Future of Alberta’s Oilsands at Stake!
Both Cenovus and MEG operate adjacent oilsands properties in the Christina Lake area, amplifying the stakes in this high-drama negotiation. The outcomes of these rival bids could shape the future of Alberta’s oilsands industry.