Exciting Polling News from Canada!

In a thrilling twist for the 2025 federal election, recent polling data reveals that the Liberals have taken a commanding lead over the Conservatives, boasting an impressive 8-point advantage! According to a dynamic three-day rolling sample conducted by Nanos Research on April 17, 19, and 20, the Liberals are currently sitting at a robust 44%, while the Conservatives trail at 36%.

But the excitement doesn’t stop there! The New Democratic Party (NDP) has made some gains, now at 11%, followed by the Bloc Quebecois at 6%, the Green Party at 3%, and the People’s Party of Canada grasping just 1%.

Regional Breakdown Reveals Surprising Trends!

Support for the Liberals isn't just national; it echoes across the regions! While they dominate in Ontario with a 10-point advantage (47% to the Conservatives’ 37%), the NDP has also seen a slight rise to 12% in this critical battleground.

In Quebec, the Liberals continue to lead decisively at 42%, significantly ahead of the Conservatives who sit at a mere 22%. Interestingly, the Bloc Quebecois is catching up with 24% support!

However, the Prairies remain a stronghold for the Conservatives, boasting a whopping 54% support compared to the Liberals’ 35%. The NDP lags behind here with only 10%.

And what about British Columbia? The Liberals have surged to 46% while the Conservatives have dipped to 35%, with the NDP holding steady at 16%.

In the Atlantic region, the Liberals still lead but with diminishing support—49% compared to the Conservatives at 37%, while the NDP remains significantly behind at 10%.

Who Do Canadians Want as Prime Minister?

When it comes to leadership preferences, Liberal Leader Mark Carney enjoys a significant edge over his rival, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. Carney leads the pack with 47% favorability compared to Poilievre’s 33%. The NDP’s Jagmeet Singh stands a distant third at just 6%.

Diving into Demographics: Voting Trends by Gender and Age!

A closer look at the numbers unveils intriguing demographic insights: women overwhelmingly favor the Liberals with 50% support, while only 27% are leaning towards the Conservatives. In contrast, among men, the split is tighter, with 38% supporting the Liberals against 45% for the Conservatives.

The youth vote continues to favor the Conservatives, capturing 43% of those under 35 compared to the Liberals’ 37%. Meanwhile, older voters are turning out for the Liberals, with 52% of those aged 55 and up backing them over the Conservatives' 32%.

Robust Methodology Behind the Numbers!

This exciting data comes from the CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos Research tracking survey, conducted with a sample size of 1,289, ensuring a high accuracy of ±2.7 percentage points 19 times out of 20.

Stay tuned for ongoing updates as we track these shifts and the implications for Canada’s political landscape!