
Yen Strengthens and Gold Soars as Tariff Uncertainties Drive Safe-Haven Demand
2025-03-31
Author: Jia
In a volatile trading landscape on Monday, the Japanese yen surged while gold hit an extraordinary peak, propelled by growing uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariffs that are clouding the economic outlook. The specter of heightened tariffs is keeping traders wary of riskier assets and the dollar.
Markets are bracing for a key announcement from the White House regarding new reciprocal tariffs, which President Donald Trump suggested would involve significant duty impositions on virtually all countries by the end of the week. As anticipation builds, details about these tariffs remain elusive.
On Monday, the yen climbed to 148.7 per U.S. dollar at its highest point, ultimately closing 0.43% stronger at 149.135. The Japanese currency's strength followed a 0.82% increase on Friday, catalyzed by U.S. inflation data that revealed an uptick in core inflation, reigniting fears of stagflation and economic instability.
Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank, highlighted the ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their potential economic fallout. "One thing is certain: this uncertainty won't dissipate with Trump's upcoming announcement," she remarked.
Gold prices surged to an astonishing $3,128.06, marking the third consecutive session of hitting record highs as traders flock to safe-haven assets amidst market turmoil.
The euro experienced a slight dip of 0.13% to $1.08205 but is poised for a nearly 4.5% rise this quarter, marking its most significant gain since Q3 2022, largely attributed to Germany's recent fiscal reforms.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde addressed the looming tariff situation, asserting that Europe must take control of its economic future in the face of aggressive U.S. trade policies and retaliatory measures.
Trump has indicated he is open to negotiating tariffs with specific countries looking to avoid them, yet reports suggest he is leaning towards a more confrontational approach, as highlighted by a Washington Post article earlier in the weekend.
Currency analysts from Merrill Lynch cautioned that sweeping tariffs could unexpectedly shake market conditions negatively. Amid these concerns, the U.S. dollar index remained stable at 104.03, reflecting a cautious market mood.
This week is set to deliver significant economic data from the U.S., particularly the anticipated non-farm payrolls report due Friday, which may influence market sentiment further. Foley commented on market reluctance to commit to the dollar ahead of this critical data release.
Elsewhere, the British pound gained 0.15% to $1.2949, on track for a nearly 3% increase this month—the strongest monthly performance since November 2023. Following productive discussions between British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Trump regarding a potential trade deal, optimism is somewhat buoyed.
Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar dipped to C$1.4347 per greenback, and Mexico's peso slipped to 20.3932 per dollar. The Australian dollar also saw a decline of 0.56% to $0.6256 as traders awaited results from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy meeting on Tuesday.
With markets navigating these turbulent waters, traders and analysts alike will be closely monitoring forthcoming developments related to tariffs, economic data, and currency fluctuations in the coming days. The question on everyone’s mind is: how much longer will safe havens like the yen and gold remain in the spotlight?