Science

Skywatching at Risk: Can the Vera Rubin Observatory Survive the Satellite Explosion?

2025-06-18

Author: Arjun

The grand vision for the Vera Rubin Observatory, conceived in the 1990s, was to gaze into a pristine sky filled with countless stars and galactic wonders. But as construction began on this $680 million marvel in 2015 atop Chile's Cerro Pachón, the cosmos was on the brink of an upheaval.

Just years before its launch, mega-constellations like SpaceX's Starlink began to fill the skies, posing a significant threat to astronomical observations. Astronomers were left scrambling to shield the observatory's precious images from satellite interference.

A Telescope Unlike Any Other

With a colossal 26-foot-wide (8.4 meters) mirror and the largest camera ever fitted to an astronomical telescope—boasting 3,200 megapixels and 189 CCD detectors—the Vera Rubin Observatory was designed for unprecedented celestial exploration. Its capability to conduct a full sky survey every three days means it will capture thousands of images, both of elusive stars and of the blinding satellites overhead.

Satellite Overload: A Growing Concern

The dilemma escalates as SpaceX's initial plan for 12,000 satellites has ballooned to a staggering 42,000, with other companies like Amazon and Chinese projects poised to launch their own fleets. Currently, around 10,000 satellites orbit Earth, a number that could skyrocket to 100,000 within the next decade.

Meredith Rawls, a research scientist for the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), lamented, "It's existentially frustrating that we are putting a bunch of stuff in orbit that is interfering with our views of the cosmos."

The Financial Toll of Satellite Streaks

As the telescope prepares to open its eyes later this month, projections indicate that 40% of the images captured over its 10-year mission may show satellite streaks. This poses a significant concern not only for the integrity of scientific data but also for taxpayers, as each night of observations costs around £60,000 (approximately $81,000). Noëla Noël, an astrophysics professor, fears that a staggering 4 million images could be compromised.

From Research to Response: Fighting Back Against Interference

Rawls, who has been involved with the observatory since 2016, initially focused on refining imaging techniques to detect cosmic phenomena. Now, her efforts shift toward developing algorithms that can distinguish between satellites and genuine astronomical objects, moving past the bright streaks that unavoidably mar the images.

Though the satellite streaks complicate observations, Rawls likens them to "bugs on a windshield"—an annoyance but not a death knell for the mission.

Confronting the Brightest Challenges

Beyond Starlink, bright satellite constellations like AST SpaceMobile's BlueBirds add to the growing concern. These massive antennas unintentionally illuminate the night sky, further complicating observation efforts.

With some anticipation, Rawls notes that there are currently not too many of these super-bright satellites, but her worries mount about what the future holds if their numbers proliferate.

Hope for a Darker Future

As the Vera Rubin Observatory gears up for its monumental scientific journey, the real impact that satellites will have on its celestial views remains uncertain. Rawls hopes for advancements in satellite designs that could help diminish their brightness, a quest supported by the International Astronomical Union, which urges satellite manufacturers to achieve near-invisibility to the naked eye.

However, making satellites dark enough to prevent interference is no easy feat, and the battle for clearer skies continues.