Finance

DXY Crumbles Below 98: Is Bitcoin Set to Soar?

2025-06-12

Author: Yu

The dollar index (DXY), which gauges the U.S. dollar's strength against a selection of top global currencies, has plummeted below 98 for the first time since early 2022. This massive drop indicates a pivotal shift in the currency landscape.

What does this mean for investors? A weaker dollar typically paves the way for rising risk assets, particularly cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. When the DXY hovers above 100, it usually reflects dollar supremacy alongside a cautious market sentiment that tends to depress equities and digital currencies.

In stark contrast, a declining dollar can enhance financial conditions, increase global liquidity, and create fertile ground for speculative investments. As traders and investors eye these changes, Bitcoin might be positioned for a significant rally.

Recent economic data underpins this shift. U.S. headline inflation has been reported at 2.4 percent year-over-year, marginally under the expected 2.5 percent. This slight dip has heightened expectations for a dovish turn in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve.

Using the CME FedWatch Tool, market predictions now show a staggering 99.8 percent likelihood that the Fed will cut rates in June, potentially lowering the target range to between 4.25 and 4.50 percent.

Furthermore, chatter about de-dollarization, coupled with the instability stemming from the previous administration's trade policies, has shaken confidence in the dollar, accelerating its descent. Could this be the dawn of a Bitcoin resurgence?