If you caught wind of the news this week, you might think Pete Rose was already basking in the glory of Hall of Fame induction. Not so fast! It’s a tangled web of eligibility that still leaves Rose without a ticket to Cooperstown.

This week, MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred made headlines by reinstating Rose alongside other formerly ineligible players, but it's crucial to note that this is not a guarantee of Hall entry. For the first time since his 1989 suspension, Rose could be on a Hall ballot, but this is merely the start of a long journey.

1. The Committee Process Explained

You’ve probably got questions swirling—who’s on the committee? Are there any Rose supporters in the mix? The truth is, we won’t know who will be on that committee for years, as it’s still quite early in the process. A Historical Overview Committee evaluates Rose's candidacy first, determining if he even makes it onto the ballot.

Rose isn't set for consideration until two elections from now because he spent most of his career before 1980, meaning he will only be evaluated by the Classic Era Committee. Assuming he passes this first hurdle—likely but not assured—voting will take place in December 2027.

2. What Happens on Election Day?

The voting process is more than just ticking boxes; it’s a serious discussion. When the committee convenes, expect hours—or likely more—of debate on each candidate. Only after deliberations will they cast their votes, with Rose needing 12 of the 16 votes to make it in. With the influence of the committee members still a mystery, all eyes will be on who shows up to vote.

3. The Challenge of Securing 75% Approval

Here’s the kicker—getting into the Hall of Fame isn’t like winning a friendly vote. Candidates require 75% approval. Even if Rose gains support, the odds of him winning are complicated by new rules that have made it harder for players to get elected. The maximum number of votes has dropped, reducing the chances for candidates.

4. Tough Competition

While Rose is the standout name, he’ll face plenty of competition. There are a host of other deserving candidates from pre-1980 who could claim votes, including baseball legends like Luis Tiant, Steve Garvey, and even Shoeless Joe Jackson. This election won’t just be about Rose; it’s a crowded field, and any misstep could cost him a shot.

5. Historical Lessons from Bonds and Clemens

Let’s not forget about Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens, who faced a similar moment of reckoning. They went from strong contenders to being mostly sidelined in just a year, proving that the Hall isn’t as predictable as it might seem. If history teaches us anything, it’s that nothing is guaranteed and past controversies can heavily weigh on outcomes.

So buckle up! As we approach the December 2027 election, keep your eyes peeled—the road to the Hall for Pete Rose is anything but straightforward. Each twist and turn could lead to unexpected results. Stay tuned!