Finance

The Battle Begins: Google's Antitrust Trial Over Ad Dominance

2025-09-22

Author: Kai

Google Faces Off in Landmark Antitrust Trial

In a high-stakes showdown, tech giant Google (GOOGL) is set to embark on its antitrust trial as the U.S. government escalates efforts to dismantle significant segments of its advertising empire. The Department of Justice, alongside multiple states, is demanding that Google divest its ad exchange, AdX, where publishers currently incur a hefty 20% fee to sell ads through real-time auctions.

The government is also advocating for a more transparent auction system by proposing it becomes open source. This trial marks a crucial moment for regulators, especially following a recent judicial setback that rejected attempts to force Google to divest its widely-used Chrome browser.

A Decisive Judge and Key Testimonies

Judge Leonie Brinkema will preside over the proceedings, having previously determined that Google wields illegal monopolies in web advertising technology. Notable figures from DailyMail.com, Advance Local, and even a former executive from News Corp. are poised to testify, alleging that Google pressured publishers into using its ad server by tying it to AdX. This practice allegedly allowed Google to prioritize its own advertisers, granting them first and last bids in auctions.

Google's Defense: A push for Policy Changes

In response, Google has dismissed the DOJ's proposals as impractical, arguing they could introduce chaos for publishers and advertisers alike. Rather than selling off AdX, the tech giant has proposed policy reforms aimed at facilitating the use of competing platforms by publishers. However, regulatory officials remain unconvinced, stressing that if competition doesn’t markedly improve within four years, Google may be compelled to further divest its publisher ad server.

What Does This Mean for Google Stock?

As the industry watches closely, market analysts have responded favorably to Google stock, with a Strong Buy consensus rating. Recent assessments show 28 Buy ratings and nine Hold ratings over the past quarter. However, the average price target stands at $239.76 per share, indicating a potential downside risk of 5.8%. With so much at stake, investors are left pondering: is now the right time to jump into GOOGL?