As the 2023 NFL season unfolds, predicting the outcome has become a true challenge. Week 3 was particularly chaotic, filled with unexpected upsets that left many experts scratching their heads. After finishing 7-9 straight-up last week, my overall record now sits at 24-24, a reflection of the unpredictable nature of this season. Against the spread (ATS), last week was even trickier; I went 6-10, bringing my ATS record to 23-22-3. Despite the mixed results, I find myself tied for the lead in expert picks on CBSSports.com. Now, it’s time for some redemption as we dive into the final week of September matchups.

Dallas Cowboys (-4.5) at New York Giants — Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video)

The Cowboys are currently on a two-game home losing streak, while the Giants are riding high after defeating the Browns. Nonetheless, Dallas has the potential to bounce back, tightening up pass protection and improving their defensive play. Expect the Cowboys to realign and secure a victory in this crucial matchup.

Prediction: Cowboys 27, Giants 19

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (-1.5) — Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

With both teams coming off losses, this matchup holds significant implications for their division standings. The Saints struggled offensively last week, while the Falcons’ defense has been markedly better. Expect a low-scoring affair, with a potential upset by the Saints on the horizon.

Prediction: Saints 20, Falcons 17

Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5) at Carolina Panthers — Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

Despite their 0-3 start, the Bengals are poised for a turnaround facing their former quarterback, Andy Dalton. The Panthers took a step in the right direction last week, but the Bengals' defense needs to step up. A high-scoring game seems likely, but ultimately, the Bengals save their season here.

Prediction: Bengals 31, Panthers 25

Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears (-3) — Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

After a thrilling comeback win against the 49ers, the Rams are looking to keep their momentum alive against the struggling Bears. Chicago's offense is under pressure, and Rams’ quarterback Matthew Stafford is expected to lead his team to another victory.

Prediction: Rams 26, Bears 20

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-2.5) — Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)