Entertainment

Is the Second Weekend Now the Real Test for Blockbusters?

2025-08-20

Author: Kai

This summer, the box office narrative took a surprising turn as blockbuster films reshaped the metrics for success. When "The Fantastic Four: First Steps" premiered with a spectacular $117.6 million domestically, it seemed Marvel Studios was back on track, leaving behind a string of pandemic-era flops, aside from the hits of last summer.

In a striking parallel, DC's new Superman film opened to $125 million just two weeks earlier, prompting buzz about a comic book resurgence. Analysts initially speculated that Fantastic Four would follow a similar path as Superman, which experienced a manageable 53% drop in its second weekend.

However, the plot thickened when Fantastic Four witnessed a staggering 67% fall in its sophomore outing, grossing only $38.7 million and bringing its ten-day total to $197.1 million.

Why the Second Weekend Matters More Than Ever

Traditionally, the opening weekend has been the ultimate judge of a film's fate. But recent trends suggest that a movie’s second weekend could be the more telling predictor of its success or failure.

Take "Sinners," directed by Ryan Coogler; its mere 5% dip during the second weekend signaled a blockbuster in the making, eventually raking in $365 million globally. Warner Bros. found a similar fortune with "Weapons," which only dropped 44%, confirming its sleeper hit status.

Red Flags and Hidden Gems

In contrast, Disney's live-action adaptation of "Snow White" opened with a troublesome $42.2 million and plummeted 66% in its second weekend, finishing with a paltry $87.2 million. Similarly, Marvel's "Captain America: Brave New World" debuted at $88.8 million but experienced a crippling 68% decline the following weekend.

Marvel’s other title, "Thunderbolts," kicked off with a decent $74.3 million but also fell short, with a 56% drop in its second weekend—far below what the studio was hoping for. In stark contrast, last summer’s "Deadpool & Wolverine" bowed to an impressive $211 million, showcasing a significantly smaller 54% decline.

Shining Stars Amidst the Duds

However, not all is bleak in the house of Disney. The summer sensation "Lilo & Stitch" opened with a bang at $182 million and has since soared past $1.02 billion worldwide, establishing itself as the highest-grossing Hollywood film of the year, outpacing competitors like "A Minecraft Movie" and "Jurassic World Rebirth."

Even major sequels faced scrutiny. Sony's "28 Years Later" opened with a modest $30 million, but it too experienced a drastic 68% drop in its second weekend, ultimately settling at a disappointing $70.4 million.

As the movie industry navigates these fluctuating dynamics, one question looms large: Is the second weekend now the new opening weekend? In an era where audience engagement seems more volatile than ever, studios may need to rethink their metrics for success.