Concerns are swirling around Atlanta Braves star Ozzie Albies as the 2023 season unfolds. In the words of one analyst, "If I was worried about anyone, it would be Albies. He seems cooked compared to his peak. Statcast metrics aren't in his favor, and injuries are piling up."

Looking at the Numbers: A Mixed Bag

Staring at his current performance — a .244/.314/.436 line for a 110 wRC+ — leaves fans wondering where the real Ozzie joins the conversation. While it’s better than his career average of 108, the overall inconsistency raises eyebrows.

My history with Albies isn't one of blind fandom. His propensity for streaky performances, slow double-play pivots, and a swing that often resembles he’s swinging a tree trunk have led to mixed feelings. But despite some flaws, his infectious energy, low strikeout rates, and surprising power for a smaller player still make him a valuable asset.

Injuries and Instability: A Worrying Trend

Over the last few years, his game statistics have been erratic: games played have varied from 64 to 148 to just 99, and his defensive value has fluctuated from slightly above average to below average. While his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) has remained fairly stable, his wRC+ has experienced significant roller-coaster dips.

2023: A Season To Watch

Statcast data paints a grim picture this season, where numbers reflect declining bat speed and exit velocity. Currently sitting at a .238 BABIP, many are left speculating whether positive regression is on the horizon. If Albies continues on this trajectory, his 110 wRC+ indicates potential for a four-win season, which is borderline All-Star level.

The Struggle with Walks

Interestingly, one glimmer of hope is his walk rate, which has climbed to 9.3%—the highest since his rookie year. Yet, this might not be sustainable if he doesn’t start making hard contact consistently. Stats reveal that Albies has become more selective at the plate, swinging less at pitches both inside and outside the zone.

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