Mike Duncan, a renowned historian known for his exceptional analysis of empires, believes America may be witnessing the beginning of its decline. Through his popular *Revolutions* and *History of Rome* podcasts, Duncan has dissected monumental historical fallouts, making him uniquely qualified to comment on the current trajectory of the United States.

As we approach 2025, Duncan suggests that the American empire—once a global powerhouse—has peaked. He notes that under the Trump administration, the deterioration of the American ideal has intensified, revealing a pattern eerily reminiscent of power cycles throughout history.

"Every empire has a lifespan," Duncan tells *Rolling Stone*. "While the U.S. remains powerful and isn't about to vanish from the global stage, it certainly feels like we're edging towards a significant decline."

Echoes of Rome's Fall

To understand America’s current challenges, Duncan draws parallels with the Roman Republic. As Rome ascended to prominence, economic disparities escalated, leading to social conflicts that eventually boiled over into civil war. Politicians, obsessed with power, lost sight of democratic values, marking the beginning of the Republic's downfall.

Duncan highlights how contemporary America mirrors this strife with stark wealth gaps and fierce debates over citizenship. The January 6 insurrection serves as a modern reflection of desperate measures taken by political leaders unwilling to accept electoral defeat.

The Illusion of Democratic Processes

Even after the shift from Republic to Empire, Rome maintained the appearance of a democratic system, holding elections while consolidating power in one leader's hands. Today, Duncan warns that though Congress and courts persist, the true exercise of power may lie beneath the thin veneer of democracy.

The Role of the Elites

Duncan emphasizes the importance of elites in any power structure, noting that a small number control vast resources. Their support is vital to maintain authority; if they rebel, the entire system could collapse. America's founding fathers, mostly from wealthy backgrounds, demonstrate how crucial elite backing has been in revolutions throughout history.

The Threat of a Fragmented Party

Looking at the Republican Party, there was a moment post-January 6 when it seemed the elite might abandon Trump. This delicate balance raises questions about party loyalty and the potential for new leaders to emerge once Trump is no longer a factor.

Will America Evolve or Deteriorate?

As Duncan reflects on the potential outcomes for the U.S., he asserts that while we are experiencing a decline, it does not dictate our future is bleak. Historical patterns suggest that all empires, including the U.S., are transient. Many observers believe a decline in American power could lead to a more balanced global arena.

Comparing potential future scenarios, he cautions that while the U.S. may be losing its grip, a new status quo could emerge—one that balances power differently across the globe.

The Impermanence of Power

Ultimately, Duncan insists that the current turmoil reflects systemic issues rather than an unshakeable doom. Like Rome, America faces incompetent governance that may prompt social upheaval if it fails to adapt.

Yet, Duncan remains hopeful, underscoring humanity's knack for resilience. "We’ve always found ways to navigate through our crises. Just because now looks dire, that does not mean it has to end that way. History teaches us that change is possible—even if the path is tumultuous."

A Hopeful Conclusion

As we stand on the precipice of uncertainty, it’s crucial to recognize that while historical parallels offer insight, they do not dictate the future. With creativity and determination, America may still find its way back from the brink.