Science

Get Ready for a Mind-Blowing Lunar Event in 2032!

2025-07-05

Author: Ying

A Cosmic Closer Look at Asteroid 2024 YR4

When we think about potential cosmic events, the first sight of Asteroid 2024 YR4 on December 27, 2024, sent astronomers into a frenzy. Initially perceived as a threat to Earth with a 1% collision risk on December 22, 2032, those odds briefly rocketed to a staggering 3.1%, making it the most hazardous object tracked at the time.

But Wait—The Moon's Fate Might Be Even Wackier!

As the asteroid’s trajectory became clearer, Earth was spared from impending doom, and the impact probability plummeted to just 0.004%. However, the Moon, our loyal cosmic companion, may not be so lucky.

According to Dr. Andrew Rivkin, a planetary expert at Johns Hopkins University, the asteroid has a compelling 4% chance of crashing into the Moon instead. If it does, the result would be nothing short of spectacular!

A Stunning Visual Showdown