As the Detroit Lions gear up to face off against the struggling Jacksonville Jaguars, they find themselves in a prime position after a challenging streak of games. This week not only marks their second home appearance since the bye week but also presents them with an opportunity against a Jaguars team sitting at a dismal 2-8, which will be without its starting quarterback.

Can the Jaguars Defy Expectations?

While the Jaguars have a woeful record, are they really as bad as it looks? Let’s break down the stats and make some bold predictions.

Lions’ Pass Offense (12th in DVOA) vs. Jaguars’ Pass Defense (32nd)

After a turbulent week marred by five interceptions against a formidable Texans defense, the Lions' offense is itching to bounce back. Despite this hiccup, Detroit remains a powerhouse in several metrics:

- 8.4 Y/A (5th in NFL)

- 106.7 passer rating (3rd)

- 49.5% success rate (13th)

The key factor this week is the potential return of tackle Taylor Decker, which could stabilize an offensive line currently hovering around average.

Conversely, the Jaguars’ secondary has rightfully earned its spot at the bottom of the rankings. With an alarming inability to contest against even mediocre pass offenses, it appears likely the Lions could exploit this vulnerability, especially with Jared Goff at the helm.

Edge Prediction: Lions +3

The Lions are set for a comeback, facing a Jaguars pass defense that’s had mild success only once. A disciplined performance should see Detroit comfortably claim this matchup.

Lions’ Run Offense (1st) vs. Jaguars’ Run Defense (12th)