5 Key Factors to Watch as the Chiefs Face Off Against the Texans in the AFC Divisional Round
2025-01-17
Author: Kai
As the NFL playoff season kicks into high gear, the Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) are set to take on the Houston Texans (10-8) in the highly anticipated AFC Divisional round. Scheduled for Saturday at 3:30 p.m. at the roaring GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, this clash promises excitement as both teams enter the postseason with vastly different narratives.
The Chiefs come off a bye week, resting from a commanding Christmas Day performance that secured them the advantage, while the Texans have built confidence after a decisive 32-12 victory against the Los Angeles Chargers in the Wild Card round. Having previously defeated Houston 27-19 just weeks ago, the Chiefs are determined to continue their playoff dominance. With a clean bill of health, Kansas City looks to maintain its status as the reigning Super Bowl champions with sights set on another title run.
Here are five crucial aspects to keep an eye on during this playoff showdown:
1. Shifting Offensive Line Dynamics for the Chiefs
Recent reports suggest that Joe Thuney is expected to take the lead at left tackle, pushing veteran D.J. Humphries down the depth chart. This adjustment underlines the Chiefs' playoff strategy, particularly the focus on solid pass protection. Thuney's presence has proven significant, boosting both the passing and running game efficiency. In games without Thuney at left guard, the team's rushing numbers dropped dramatically—from a stunning 46.5% success rate in the first 14 weeks to a disappointing 37% over the final games. Given the Texans' defense managed three sacks in their Wild Card win, it is essential for the Chiefs to shore up this vital area.
2. Stopping the Texans’ Ground Game
The Texans' offense relies heavily on the impact of running back Joe Mixon, who was instrumental in their Wild Card win with 106 yards on 25 carries. However, his ankle injury puts his availability in question for this showdown. For the Chiefs’ defense, stopping the run game is critical, as it will allow them to unleash a more aggressive pass rush on young quarterback C.J. Stroud. Earlier in the season, the Chiefs demonstrated their ability to contain Mixon, limiting him to 57 rushing yards in their last encounter. How the Chiefs perform against the run will likely dictate the game’s tempo.
3. Chiefs' Pass Rush Ready to Roll
Kansas City's defensive line, revitalized after a week off, is eager to showcase their talent in the playoffs. Chris Jones, having recovered from a calf injury, will be pivotal in pressuring Stroud. The Texans’ offensive line struggled throughout the regular season, allowing the third-most sacks; Jones and fellow defensive linemen, including Tershawn Wharton and Mike Danna, could exploit the Texans’ line weaknesses effectively. The return of right guard Shaq Mason from injury should bolster Houston's line, but it remains to be seen how they will perform under playoff pressure.
4. Neutralizing Nico Collins
Starting quarterback C.J. Stroud’s top target, Nico Collins presents a significant challenge to the Chiefs’ defense. Collins has been the lone bright spot in a battered Houston receiving corps and proved dangerous in the Texans' last game. The Chiefs previously focused on limiting his impact, containing him to 60 yards in their last meeting. If the Chiefs can maintain this defensive scheme while also managing tight end Dalton Schultz—who was notably a productive player for Houston—they could greatly hinder the Texans' offensive strategy.
5. Capitalizing on Big Plays
As the playoffs roll around, the Chiefs look to shift into high gear offensively. Success will hinge on capitalizing on explosive plays rather than solely relying on red-zone efficiency, where they have struggled, ranking 22nd during the season. Star running back Isiah Pacheco’s ability to break off big gains will be crucial, and the matchups against Houston's rookie cornerback Kamari Lassiter will be essential. Expect the Chiefs to craft clever plays designed to maximize their speed advantage, ensuring they convert those opportunities into valuable points.
As these two teams prepare for what promises to be an electrifying showdown, all eyes will be on how these key factors unfold in the Divisional round of the playoffs. Can the Chiefs maintain their dominance, or will the Texans pull off the upset? Only time will tell!