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2025 SEC Win Totals and Predictions: What to Expect from the Dominant Teams like Alabama, Georgia, and Texas!

2025-03-26

Author: Kai

In the ever-evolving landscape of college football, the SEC stands poised to reclaim its status in 2025 after a significant dip with the Big Ten claiming the last two national championships. With powerhouses like Alabama, Georgia, and Texas gearing up for the new season, excitement is palpable among fans and bettors alike.

After years of domination, the SEC is hungry, featuring several teams and coaches at critical junctures in their careers. Alabama, under new head coach Kalen DeBoer, is looking to rebound after a rocky season, while Georgia finds itself in a rebuilding phase with 15 starters departing. The Big Ten's Ohio State and Michigan have set the bar high, leaving SEC teams with much to prove.

According to FanDuel's recent odds, the SEC is projected to send 12 teams to bowl games in 2025. As the off-season kicks off, speculation is rampant on each team's potential to exceed or fall short of projections. Here’s a breakdown of what to expect from every team in the SEC.

Alabama

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 9.5

- **Projected Wins:** Florida State, ULM, Wisconsin, Vanderbilt, Missouri, Tennessee, South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, Eastern Illinois.

- **Projected Losses:** Georgia, Auburn.

- **Analysis:** After a rocky transition to DeBoer’s system, Alabama looks to bounce back. With a favorable schedule and a quarterback who fits the new offensive style, the team is expected to challenge for the SEC crown.

Arkansas

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 5.5

- **Projected Wins:** Alabama A&M, Arkansas State, Memphis, Texas A&M, Mississippi State, Missouri.

- **Projected Losses:** Ole Miss, Notre Dame, Tennessee, Auburn, LSU, Texas.

- **Analysis:** Sam Pittman aims to stabilize his roster after a tumultuous off-season. With Taylen Green returning and Bobby Petrino's guidance, finding six wins seems achievable.

Auburn

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 7.5

- **Projected Wins:** Baylor, Ball State, South Alabama, Missouri, Arkansas, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Mercer, Alabama.

- **Projected Losses:** Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Georgia.

- **Analysis:** With a much-improved roster and a stellar quarterback, expectations are high for Auburn, positioning them as a potential surprise playoff contender.

Florida

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 6.5

- **Projected Wins:** Long Island, South Florida, Miami, Mississippi State, Kentucky, Tennessee, Florida State.

- **Projected Losses:** LSU, Texas, Texas A&M, Georgia, Ole Miss.

- **Analysis:** Despite their challenges, the Gators' dynamic QB and solid defense could propel them to a competitive season, but a tough schedule simplifies expectations.

Georgia

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 9.5

- **Projected Wins:** Marshall, Austin Peay, Alabama, Kentucky, Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida, Mississippi State, Texas, Charlotte, Georgia Tech.

- **Projected Losses:** Tennessee.

- **Analysis:** Despite key player losses, Georgia's recruiting prowess and depth should keep them in contention for another title run.

Kentucky

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 4.5

- **Projected Wins:** Toledo, Eastern Michigan, Tennessee Tech.

- **Projected Losses:** Ole Miss, South Carolina, Georgia, Texas, Tennessee, Auburn, Florida, Louisville.

- **Analysis:** With quarterback issues still a question mark, and a challenging schedule, it may be difficult for Kentucky to improve from last season.

LSU

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 8.5

- **Projected Wins:** Louisiana Tech, Florida, Southeastern Louisiana, Ole Miss, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Arkansas, Western Kentucky.

- **Projected Losses:** Clemson, Alabama, Oklahoma.

- **Analysis:** Key returning player Garrett Nussmeier and a solid transfer class signal that LSU might break out this season, despite a tough road ahead.

Mississippi State

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 3.5

- **Projected Wins:** Southern Miss, Arizona State, Alcorn State, Northern Illinois.

- **Projected Losses:** Tennessee, Texas A&M, Florida, Texas, Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, Ole Miss.

- **Analysis:** After a disappointing season, Mississippi State aims to rebuild under new coaching. However, their schedule could prove too difficult for substantial improvement.

Missouri

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 7.5

- **Projected Wins:** Central Arkansas, Kansas, Louisiana, South Carolina, UMass, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State.

- **Projected Losses:** Alabama, Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Arkansas.

- **Analysis:** Losing key players complicates Missouri's chances of continuing their winning streak, though they still have a shot at a decent season.

Oklahoma

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 6.5

- **Projected Wins:** Illinois State, Temple, Auburn, Kent State, South Carolina, Ole Miss, Missouri, LSU.

- **Projected Losses:** Michigan, Texas, Tennessee, Alabama.

- **Analysis:** Oklahoma faces a crucial year; with significant changes on both sides of the ball, they’ll need to exceed expectations if they want to return to prominence.

Ole Miss

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 8.5

- **Projected Wins:** Georgia State, Kentucky, Arkansas, Tulane, Washington State, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, Mississippi State.

- **Projected Losses:** LSU, Georgia, Oklahoma.

- **Analysis:** Despite losing key contributors, Lane Kiffin's recruiting success could prove pivotal, as many are eyeing them as playoff contenders.

South Carolina

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 7.5

- **Projected Wins:** Virginia Tech, South Carolina State, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Coastal Carolina.

- **Projected Losses:** Missouri, LSU, Oklahoma, Alabama, Ole Miss, Clemson.

- **Analysis:** Fresh off a strong finish last season, South Carolina is looking to build on that momentum, but challenging games could limit their total wins.

Tennessee

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 9.5

- **Projected Wins:** Syracuse, East Tennessee State, Georgia, UAB, Mississippi State, Arkansas, Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico State, Vanderbilt.

- **Projected Losses:** Alabama, Florida.

- **Analysis:** With a potent offense and favorable matchups, the Vols have a strong chance of achieving a 10-win season, despite a challenging schedule.

Texas

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 9.5

- **Projected Wins:** San Jose State, UTEP, Sam Houston, Florida, Oklahoma, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Texas A&M.

- **Projected Losses:** Ohio State, Georgia.

- **Analysis:** Texas looks towards a promising season with high expectations for their freshman quarterback Arch Manning. However, key losses on offense highlight the need for quick adaptation.

Texas A&M

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 7.5

- **Projected Wins:** UTSA, Utah State, Auburn, Mississippi State, Florida, Missouri, Samford.

- **Projected Losses:** Notre Dame, Arkansas, LSU, South Carolina, Texas.

- **Analysis:** Despite a tough schedule, the Aggies possess a solid roster, but their 1-4 finish in 2024 raises concerns about their ability to keep pace.

Vanderbilt

- **Win Total:** Over/Under 4.5

- **Projected Wins:** Charleston Southern, Georgia State, Utah State, Kentucky.

- **Projected Losses:** Virginia Tech, South Carolina, Alabama, LSU, Missouri, Texas, Auburn, Tennessee.

- **Analysis:** With promising quarterback Diego Pavia leading the charge, Vanderbilt might be on the cusp of something special, pushing them toward bowl eligibility once again.

With a mix of rebuilding and powerhouse programs, 2025 is shaping up to be a thrilling season for the SEC. Fans will soon discover which teams will rise to the occasion and which will succumb to the pressure of high expectations! Stay tuned as we cover every game and story throughout the season!