The Best Time to Buy a Home in Canada: Exploring the Current Buyers' Markets
2024-11-11
Author: Noah
As the Canadian real estate market fluctuates, now may be a golden opportunity for potential homebuyers, particularly in major urban centers like Toronto and Vancouver.
A recent report from online real estate resource Zoocasa has identified some of the best buyers' markets in Canada based on sales-to-new listings ratios (SNLR), suggesting that timing is crucial.
Toronto: The Window is Closing
In Toronto, the SNLR stands at a mere 28%, indicating a shift towards a buyers’ market, where new listings are currently outpacing sales.
This drop from 29% earlier in 2023 provides buyers with a respite from the intense bidding wars and competitive atmosphere that characterized previous years.
Angela Serednicki from Zoocasa highlights that this is a favorable moment for prospective homeowners to enter the market, with Toronto, despite its high prices, now showing signs of accessibility.
However, the opportunity may not last.
In October, sales in the Greater Toronto Area surged by 44.4% compared to the previous year, fueled by more affordable prices and recent interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada.
This uptick suggests that the market may soon heat up again, prompting buyers to act quickly.
Vancouver: A Similar Trend
The Greater Vancouver Area mirrors Toronto's situation, with an SNLR of 30%, also categorizing it as a buyers’ market.
Sales surged by 32% last month, which is significant across all property types, indicating renewed interest from buyers.
Similar to Toronto, the combination of lowering interest rates and increased availability might entice more buyers back into the fray in Vancouver too.
A Shift in Market Dynamics
Robert Hogue, assistant chief economist at the Royal Bank of Canada, notes that the rise in new listings represents a welcomed increase in supply, as sellers anticipate stronger demand as the season progresses.
Economists predict that as rates continue to drop, especially if mortgage rates dip below 4%, the housing market could see a further uptick in sales.
Senior economist Robert Kavcic from BMO Capital Markets suggests that a return to sub-4% rates could redefine market dynamics, encouraging potential buyers waiting for a more favorable environment.
Across the 26 Canadian markets analyzed by Zoocasa, 12 (or 46%) are currently sellers' markets, while 8 are categorized as buyers' markets and 6 as balanced.
Interestingly, some of the strongest sellers' markets are emerging from smaller Canadian cities like Thunder Bay and Regina, showcasing a trend towards affordability gaining traction among buyers.
Emerging Hotspots
Thunder Bay boasts an impressive SNLR at 87%, while Regina's ratio rose sharply from 68% to 78%.
Sudbury also saw its SNLR increase from 58% to 70%, highlighting a growing demand in areas traditionally considered less desirable.
These shifts signal that even smaller markets are experiencing heightened interest, showcasing lucrative opportunities for sellers in regions that offer affordability and potential for growth.
What Lies Ahead?
As the Canadian labor market shows signs of stabilization, with job growth not meeting expectations but unemployment rates holding steady, the real estate outlook remains uncertain.
With another jobs report set for release before the Bank of Canada's next rate decision on December 11, the market's trajectory will depend on ongoing economic indicators.
In conclusion, if you're considering buying a home, now may be the time to explore opportunities in Canada's major urban centers and beyond.
With buyers' markets emerging and favorable economic conditions on the horizon, taking the plunge into homeownership could prove beneficial—but act fast, as conditions can change rapidly in the real estate landscape!