Science

City-Killer Asteroid Set to Miss Earth But Moon May Be in Jeopardy!

2025-04-06

Author: Emma

In a thrilling twist, astrophysical experts have announced that a menacing asteroid, ominously labeled as a "city killer," is now forecasted to narrowly miss Earth. However, the moon may still face a significant threat!

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially detected in December 2024, posed a considerable alarm when early estimates indicated a 3% probability of striking Earth in 2032. Fortunately, recent assessments by NASA have revised these odds to nearly zero, providing a collective sigh of relief for global citizens.

Nonetheless, all eyes are now turning towards Earth's celestial companion: the moon. Astrophysicist Andrew Rivkin found during a five-hour observation that there is a 3.8% chance of the asteroid hitting the moon on December 22, 2032, a slight increase from earlier evaluations that placed this risk at 1.7%. This updated risk stems from data harnessed by the advanced James Webb Space Telescope, which has been instrumental in refining our understanding of the asteroid's trajectory.

While there's a significantly larger 96.2% chance that the asteroid will miss the moon entirely, experts remain vigilant. Should the city killer manage to make contact, NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies has assured us that it would not influence the moon’s orbit.

Rivkin remarked, "Our continuing observations of this asteroid are crucial; we're keen to determine whether the impact probability will rise or drop to zero."

In light of recent reports, the asteroid's dimensions have been clarified. Contrary to previous estimates, new analyses suggest that the asteroid measures about 60 meters in size, which is roughly the length of a football field.

Planned follow-up observations of 2024 YR4 using the Webb telescope are scheduled for May, before the asteroid vanishes into the depths of the outer solar system for the foreseeable future.

This event underscores the importance of continual sky surveillance and highlights how rapidly our knowledge of near-Earth objects can evolve. With humanity’s increasing ventures into space, awareness and monitoring of potential threats like 2024 YR4 remain more critical than ever!

Stay tuned for updates as scientists unravel more secrets of the cosmos and keep watch for any further changes regarding this colossal space rock that currently keeps both Earth and the moon on alert!