James Webb Telescope Reveals Lunar Threat

The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) has conducted its final observations of the potentially dangerous asteroid known as 2024 YR4. Although Earth is safe for now, experts warn that the moon could face a risky encounter in the near future.

Increased Odds for a Lunar Collision

Recent findings by the JWST's Near-Infrared Camera indicate that there is now a 4.3% chance of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with the moon on December 22, 2032. This is an increase from the previously estimated odds of 3.8% recorded after the asteroid was first imaged in March.

NASA representatives noted that as new data emerges, it's common for impact probabilities to shift. The agency plans to make further observations when the asteroid's orbit brings it back near Earth in 2028.

What Makes Asteroid 2024 YR4 Dangerous?

Measuring between 174 and 220 feet in diameter, 2024 YR4 is comparable in size to the Leaning Tower of Pisa. If it were to strike Earth, the impact could unleash devastation equal to 500 Hiroshima bombs. Thankfully, experts confirm there is no current risk of the asteroid hitting Earth.

A Closer Look at Its Trajectory

Discovered in December 2024, 2024 YR4's orbit crosses Earth's path. Initial predictions suggested a possible collision with Earth in 2032, with odds peaking at 3.1% in February. However, through subsequent observations, scientists have ruled out any threat to Earth, while concerns regarding a lunar impact have escalated.

Implications of a Lunar Impact

Should 2024 YR4 hit the moon, it would produce a new crater but would not significantly harm Earth's natural satellite. Interestingly, some scientists view this potential collision as a unique opportunity to test and refine asteroid impact prediction methods.

Stay Tuned for Further Updates

As we head toward 2028, the astronomical community will continue to monitor asteroid 2024 YR4 closely. Will it be a cosmic event to remember, or just another near-miss?