
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades: What You Need to Know This Week
2025-04-30
Author: Jacques
Key Insights from Analyst Actions
In the latest movements from analysts, optimism shines through in Canada’s property and casualty insurance sector. Jaeme Gloyn from National Bank Financial is keeping a positive outlook, highlighting solid fundamentals as we approach the earnings season. Gloyn believes the sector remains resilient against broader economic uncertainties.
Market Dynamics and Resilience
Gloyn noted that insurance multiples are trending high but valuations remain justified by expected returns on equity (ROE). "While catastrophic events pose risks, we doubt Canada will see a repeat of last year’s record losses. The anticipated rate hikes in response to last year’s weather crises should help extend the current hard market," he said.
He emphasized that with excess capital available in the property and casualty market, consolidation is likely a significant theme for 2025.
Target Adjustments for Leading Insurance Firms
Among the adjustments Gloyn made:
- Definity Financial Corp. (DFY-T) target raised to $75 from $70. Market average is $64.11.
- Intact Financial Corp. (IFC-T) target increased to $305 from $299, slightly above the market average of $299.46.
Identifying Opportunities Amid Uncertainty
Gloyn identifies three key opportunities within the market: first, defensive stocks like IFC and DFY that hold up better in uncertainties; second, those with upside potential like EFN and FFH; and third, higher-risk names that might be undervalued amid macro headwinds.
Meanwhile, Cherilyn Radbourne from TD Cowen points out that Brookfield Asset Management has continued outperforming its peers amidst increased market volatility, attributing this to its robust fee-related earnings structure.
Analyst Updates on Other Companies
Other notable shifts include Stifel’s Martin Landry advising caution on BRP Inc. (DOO-T), following disappointing results from competitor Polaris Inc. He suggests waiting for more clarity on market conditions.
Additionally, Desjardins' Chris Li reports that Gildan Activewear Inc. (GIL-T) is navigating macroeconomic challenges adeptly, leveraging its competitive advantages and maintaining a healthy sales trajectory.
What Analysts are Saying About Different Sectors
In the lumber sector, Raymond James analyst Daryl Swetlishoff revised forecasts downward due to ongoing trade tensions and their impact on Canadian firms. Despite this, he sees potential upward movement if economic conditions improve.
Lastly, new coverage begins for McEwen Mining Inc. by analyst Don DeMarco, who believes in the potential of its Los Azules copper project, citing significant untapped value.
Final Thoughts on Market Movements
As companies prepare for the upcoming earnings season, stay tuned for further adjustments and insights from analysts as they navigate these turbulent economic waters. The shifting landscape presents unique opportunities, especially for investors keen on defensive and undervalued stocks.