
Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades: Market Movers You Need to Know
2025-05-13
Author: Olivia
Market Roundup: Analyst Actions You Can't Miss
In a significant shift, Travis Wood of National Bank Financial has flagged Whitecap Resources Inc. (WCP-T) as a top pick following its $15 billion merger with Veren Inc. Wood sees immense potential in Whitecap's robust asset quality and financial resilience, which he believes could lead to profitable growth in unconventional sectors like Montney and Duvernay. After analyzing the numbers, he forecasts a staggering $630 million in free cash flow next year, enabling strategic debt repayment and share buybacks. Despite trading at a 30% discount compared to peers, Wood insists that now is the time to invest, especially as market interest shifts from event-driven speculators to fundamental investors.
Wood upgraded Whitecap's target price to $15, up from $14.50, while the average target among analysts sits at $13.16. He emphasizes that Whitecap's current yield of 9.1% far surpasses that of other dividend-paying energy companies.
Scotia Capital's Positive Outlook for Whitecap
Kevin Fisk of Scotia Capital echoed Wood's sentiment, upgrading Whitecap from 'sector perform' to 'sector outperform' with a target of $12. He highlights the industrial logic of the merger, predicting significant synergies and increased attractiveness for a broader range of investors.
Mullen Group: A Buy Recommendation
Desjardins Securities is also optimistic about Mullen Group Ltd. (MTL-T), initiating coverage with a 'buy' recommendation. Analyst Benoit Poirier presents five compelling reasons to consider investing in Mullen, emphasizing its resilience, strong cash flow, and the potential for upside amid challenging market conditions.
Poirier believes Mullen's historical association with oil and gas could deter investors, despite its successful transformation into a more diversified logistics provider. He suggests its shares, trading near book value, have potential to reach a price of $23.
Transcontinental Inc.: Improving Profit Margins
Analyst Adam Shine from National Bank Financial stated that Transcontinental Inc. (TCL.A-T) is making strides towards profitability as it embarks on a two-year program to realize substantial savings. He raised his target to $23 amidst signs of improving metrics, although he notes revenues could face pressure in upcoming quarters.
SmartCentres REIT: Cautious Optimism
After SmartCentres REIT's (SRU.UN-T) narrow first-quarter beat, Matt Kornack from National Bank Financial remains cautiously optimistic. He raised the target to $25 but harbored concerns regarding the payout ratio and the market's utility for development values.
GFL Environmental: Bullish in Solid Waste market
Citi’s Bryan Burgmeier sees continued strength in GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL-N, GFL-T), raising his target to $56 based on firm results in Solid Waste operations. He believes GFL is well-positioned to exceed prior guidance, driven by the company's expansion plans and enhancing underlying margins.
Other Notable Analyst Actions
In other market moves, various analysts updated their targets for companies across the board. Canaccord Genuity flagged Illumin Holdings Inc. (ILLM-T) as a 'speculative buy,' while Tiny Ltd. (TINY-X) received a similar upgrade. Scotia's Mario Saric adjusted his rating for CAP REIT (CAR.UN-T), reflecting evolving market dynamics.
With the stock market constantly in flux, these analyst actions highlight key opportunities and potential pitfalls that investors should keep a close eye on.