Finance

Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades: Key Insights from September 24, 2024

2024-09-24

Key Insights from Analyst Recommendations

In today's financial climate, understanding analyst recommendations is crucial for investors seeking to capitalize on market movements. Here’s a roundup of significant upgrades, downgrades, and insights from analysts regarding leading companies in various sectors.

AltaGas Ltd. (ALA-T)

Following the successful completion of a US$900-million hybrid note offering, AltaGas has seen a “material” improvement in its leverage position, as noted by Nate Heywood from ATB Capital Markets. The funds will largely be allocated to reducing current debts of approximately $673 million and maturing senior notes. With future obligations totaling $800 million due in the first half of 2025, this offering positions AltaGas favorably.

Heywood adjusted his leverage forecast to 4.3 times for the end of 2024, down from 5.0 times, while suggesting that further asset sales could enhance these figures. The company's growth initiatives, such as the REEF facility, are progressing well, with construction already underway and 40% backed by fixed-price contracts. The analyst reaffirmed a strong “outperform” rating with a price target of $36, slightly below the street's $37.63 average.

Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TOU-T)

National Bank Financial's Dan Payne emphasized Tourmaline's dominant role in the natural gas sector, rating it as a "buy" with a target price of $72.50. The company accounts for 15% of Canada’s natural gas production, significantly outpacing its U.S. counterparts. While investors may be cautious following a challenging year, Payne believes that the structural support for the gas market is improving, forecasting better dynamics moving into 2025.

Spin Master Corp. (TOY-T)

TD Cowen’s analyst Brian Morrison included Spin Master on the "Canada Best Ideas" list, projecting robust growth for its revenue and free cash flow in the second half of 2024. With a buy rating and a target price of $46, Morrison believes the company’s current valuation is overly conservative in light of its recovery trajectory following acquisition missteps. Investors can anticipate improved financial guidance after the upcoming Q3 report.

Uranium Sector Insights

Analysts at Canaccord Genuity highlighted the disconnect between uranium equities and the rising commodity prices, labeling it an “unconscious uncoupling.” Despite an increase in reported term prices, uranium stock values have dropped, presenting a potential buying opportunity. The firm maintains a long-term price forecast of US$90/lb, supported by accelerating nuclear development globally.

Diversified Royalty Corp. (DIV-T)

Ventum Capital Markets analyst Devin Schilling identified DIV as an appealing investment, citing its diverse royalty streams and a solid dividend yield of 8.6%. With a favorable long-term growth outlook, Schilling set a target price of $4, indicating strong potential for increased demand as interest rates decline.

Other Updates

Various other companies received updates from analysts. CIBC's Anita Soni raised her target on B2Gold Corp. to US$3.60. BMO’s Joel Jackson increased Chemtrade Logistics’ target to $12. Meanwhile, Stifel’s Cole McGill raised Foran Mining's target to $5, hinting at an optimistic outlook as it progresses on multiple fronts, including project funding.

Overall, investors should closely follow these analyst insights as they navigate the changing landscape of the market, exploring opportunities that arise in both challenged and thriving sectors. The balance of caution and optimism reflected in these reports illustrates an evolving economic environment, ripe with potential.